Fri. Mar 29th, 2024

With the prevailing tensions on the border of Sikkim between India and China, there are possibilities that China might lodge a war on India. But China must decide carefully before taking any such action, as China is longer the unbeatable economic force of the world and neither India is any longer the India in the time of 90’s.

It will just be an impulsive decision of China if it decides to go for a war with India and that also over a small piece of land which is of no long-term economic advantage.

According to a recent Harvest Study, surpassing China, India has emerged the economic pole of the global economy and will continue to sit on the throne for the coming decade at least, given the capabilities accumulated to date. India will be on number one position in the list of fastest growing economies till 2025 with an average annual growth of 7.7 percent, as said by the Harvard University’s Center for International Development (CID).

The three main reasons why China should keep out of the war with India are:

  1. Currently, China enjoys a cordial relation with India in the area of Trade. The total volume of bilateral trade between the two countries is about $71 billion. In the last year, China exported goods worth $ 58.33 billion while Indian entities shipped out only over $ 11.76 billion. In this case, China would not risk its trade with India as it will have a major impact, particularly on its manufacturing sector if China has war with India.
  2. The rapidly growing friend list of India, internationally. With the efforts of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India has grown its ties with other countries remarkably in past few years. The world has begun to take a strong note on India’s growth and wants to engage in a mutually benefitting relation with Indians. If China happens to enter into war with India, it will have to face the reactions of friends and partners of India and might have to suffer its trade relations with these countries. China will sure choose wisely before making any such decision as a small piece of land can be compromised over the rivalry with so many other countries.
  3. If India and China enter a war, the already boiling tension of CPEC and OBOR will further be triggered resulting in great loss to China. China has almost invested at least $ 50 billion so far on China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative. India has already hinted its disapproval over the project as it crosses through the contentious part of Kashmir, which is occupied by Pakistan and claimed by India. The Indo-China war will further risk the fate of CPEC and OBOR.

Both India and China will face huge economic loss, hence a war will not be beneficial to any of the countries.