An opinion poll conducted by CNX for India TV predicts that Shivraj Singh Chouhan is all set to win in Madhya Pradesh for the consecutive fourth time with the BJP winning a clear majority.
Despite being in power since 15 years it seems that the saffron party has lost little vote base in the central state.
Although, opinion poll suggests that BJP may have to suffer a loss of 37 seats in upcoming Assembly elections, but it will still manage to reach the majority mark easily. According to India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP may win 128 seats while the Congress may manage to come first on 85 seats. Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) who is going to contest alone is expected to win eight seats and Others nine seats in the 230-seat Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections.
In the 2013 Assembly poll, the BJP had won 165 seats, while the Congress managed to win just 58 seats. Mayawati’s BSP won four seats and others three in the polling for 230-seat state Assembly.
The pre-poll survey shows that in Chambal region BJP may win 15 out of 34 seats while Congress 12, BSP four, and Others three seats. SimilarlyIn Malwa-Nimar region too BJP may win 45 out of 72 seats, Congress 24 and Others three seats.
In Baghelkhand region having 52 seats, BJP may win 25, Congress may win 21, BSP four and Others two seats. In Bhopal region, having 22 seats, BJP may win 12 and the Congress may win 10 seats. In the Mahakoshal region having 50 seats, BJP may win 31 seats, and the Congress 18, leaving one seat to Others (as published by India TV).
The BJP may see a dip by approximately 2.5% in vote share while congress may see an increase of around 1%. According to the survey, BJP may get 42.5 per cent, Congress may get 37.19 per cent, Mayawati’s BSP may get 7.7 per cent, and others may get 12.61 per cent votes.
The respondents also sought Shivraj Singh Chouhan as their CM with 40.35 per cent responding for the same.
Congress supporters in the survey were asked which leader they would prefer as Chief Minister, if the party comes to power. 42.62 per cent favoured Jyotiraditya Scindia, while 35.91 pc favoured Kamal Nath. Former CM Digvijaya Singh stood a distant third with only 10.05 per cent.
The survey was also done on what will be the biggest issue in the upcoming Assembly polls. The survey concluded that the prime issue would be unemployment with 29.11 per cent respondents concerned about it followed by development and corruption. . While only 1.3 per cent respondents considered Rafale Deal as a poll issue.
Voting in Madhya Pradesh is scheduled to take place on November 28. Results will be declared on December 11